2020 Balancing the Behemoth: Amazon and the Disinfecting Power of Sunlight. Why we need to regulate Amazon, why antitrust is the wrong way to go, and why radical transparency is a much better option. Based on Behemoth, Amazon Rising (forthcoming March 2021)
2020 Solving the Survey’s Dilemma: Estimating Future Returns From Innovation Program Investments. Why surveys systematically under-estimate the returns from innovation programs, and how to correct that problem.
2017 Amazon 2027: the Future of Retail. How Amazon’s interlocking strategy spells dominance over retail, and what this means for retail jobs.
2017 The Parable of the Bank Tellers. Why it’s easy to mistake industry growth for employment, and why bank jobs are disappearing and their wages falling.
2017 Millennial Economics: The Big Squeeze. Why Millennials are suffering, and why they are the canary in the jobs coalmine.
Posts and articles about SBIR
2018 SBIR FAQ: a Non-Technical Introduction. Answers the most common questions asked about the SBIR program.
2017 Impacts of the SBIR Program. Summarizes the current state of knowledge about SBIR impacts.
2016 Explaining the Decline in SBIR Phase I Applications. How the impact of business cycles, shifting budgets, and agency strategy explains application patterns at the five major SBIR agencies
2014-2016 Lead researcher, National Research Council reports on SBIR programs at DoD, NSF, NASA, NIH, and DoE, as well as the STTR program. See National Academies SBIR page
2013 Lead researcher, Manufacturing in the 21st Century: the Manufacturing Extension Partnership, National Research Council
2007-2009 Lead researcher, National Research Council reports on the SBIR program and individual volumes on NIH, DoD, NASA, and DoE.
2010 (with Charles Wessner) The Myth of The Mills, ASTRA Innovation Briefs. PDF
1999 ”The Information Revolution: Urban Infrastructure for the Next Millennium,” in Business Briefing: World Urban Economic Development, World Bank
1998 The 21st Century Communications Company, Economist Intelligence Unit
1996 Bit By Bit: Building a Transatlantic Partnership for the Information Age .M.E.Sharpe (with E.Olbetter, A.Bolster, and C.Prestowitz)
1993 Bridging the Atlantic, Economic Strategy Institute
1993 “Our Interests in Europe,” The Atlantic Monthly (August)
1993 “Trade, Technology, and Foreign Direct Investment: The International Dimensions of Domestic Economic Policy,” Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy Briefing Paper
1993 “The Drunk Under the Lamp-Post Problem: The Clinton Administration and technology Policy,” paper presented at the American Political Science Association Annual Conference
1992 “Protectionism with Purpose: Guiding Foreign Investment” Foreign Policy
1991 “Trading Up to Prosperity,” The Atlanta Journal (op-ed)
1991 “Less coordination will mean a richer Europe,” Newsday op-ed
1991 “Research and Technology Policy,” in Leon Hurwitz and Christian Lequesne eds. The State of the European Community, Lynne Reiner, Boulder Co.
1988 “Sex, Spies, and Scandal: the Profumo Affair in British Politics,” in the Politics of Scandal, Andrei Markovitz and Mark Silverstein, eds. Holmes and Meier, NY
Private Reports and Assessments
2010 An Innovation Design and Implementation Plan, Ministry of Science and technology, Saudi Arabia
2001 Measuring and Sustaining the New Economy, report for the National Academy of Sciences
2001 Ecommerce and U.S. Public Policy: Strategic Opportunities for DTT report for Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu
2001 Positioning DTT in the Network Economy: A Role for the Deloitte Forums report for Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu
1999 Local Online Communities, report for the Electric Power Research Institute
1999 Broadband opportunities, report for the Cantermore Group
1998 Internet Security Issues, report for Thayer Associates
1998 The Convergence Project: Interim Report assessment for Deloitte and Touche
1997 Electronic Publishing: Marketing Opportunities in the Global Information Age, report for King Publishing
1997 Riding the Distance Learning Express: The Coming Revolution in Distance learning and How Publishers can Profit from it, report for Houghton Mifflin
1997 New Markets for Houghton Mifflin’s College Textbooks: Toward a Paradigm of Alliance-centered Publishing, report for Houghton Mifflin
1995 Report subject to confidentiality. Dataquest
1995 Transforming the Electric Power Business: the Role of Demand Side Management in a Deregulating Industry, report for Mitsubishi Research
1995 Second Annual Report on the National Information Infrastructure, report for the European Commission (DGXII), Philips, Olivetti, Bull, S.A.
1994 The National Information Infrastructure: A Preliminary Report, for the European Commission (DGXIII), Philips, Olivetti, Bull S.A..
1993 Leading the Learning Curve: The First 300 Days of The Clinton Technology Policy, report for the European Commission (DGXIII)
1992 “European Industrial Policy,” in Europe and the United States: Competition and Cooperation in the 1990’s, Committee on Foreign Affairs, U.S.Congress
1992 “Europe and America after 1992,” testimony before the Budget Committee, U.S. House of Representatives
1991 “EC-92: Trade and Industrial Policy,” in Competing Economies: America, Europe, and the Pacific Rim, Office of Technology Assessment, U.S.Congress
1989 Winners and Losers in the Industrial Countries: Success and Failure among the Manufacturing Industries of the G-7 Countries 1964-84, report to the Office of Technology Assessment, U.S.Congress
1989 EC-1992: Completion of the Internal Market in Europe, report for the Office of Technology Assessment, U.S.Congress
1988 White-collar Unions in Britain: Patterns of Development 1900-1960, report to the Office of Technology Assessment, U.S.Congress
Other major documents (business plans, grant proposals, etc.)
2014 Primary author of business plan for the Stepping Stone initiative at the Education development center
2001 Kansas City Swope Parkway Health Center SBIR Partnership grant application to the National Institutes of Health
2001 RW Ventures/KCNA grant applications to MacArthur and other major foundations (with others)
2001 Montgomery County Md. Parent’s Guide plan and proposal
2000 courses411.com business plan
2000 Kansas City Neighborhood Alliance TOPs Proposal (with others)
1999 Enersphere business plan (funded through acquisition of Enersphere by Urbana, Inc) (with others)
1998 SNIP! Software business and implementation plan (resulted in acquisition of predecessor company)
1997 LocalNet Business Plan (funded by angel investors in 1998)